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NFL/2026/Team Previews

The Steelers Are Betting It All on Aaron Rodgers’ Last Ride

After Mike Tomlin's stunning resignation, Mike McCarthy takes over a Steelers team that just won the AFC North, and everything still hinges on whether 42-year-old Aaron Rodgers has one more good season left.

Headshot of Brian Wright.
Brian Wright
Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers walks off the field wearing a black No. 8 jersey and black cap
One last ride for Aaron Rodgers

At a glance

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter 2026 with Mike McCarthy replacing Mike Tomlin and Aaron Rodgers returning for what is expected to be his final season. The preview projects a 7-10 finish, with offensive line play and secondary performance shaping Pittsburgh’s ceiling.

Key takeaways

  • Mike McCarthy replaces Mike Tomlin after 19 consecutive non-losing seasons.
  • Aaron Rodgers returns at age 42 for what looks like his final NFL season.
  • Pittsburgh added Jamel Dean, Rico Dowdle, Michael Pittman Jr. and first-round pick Max Iheanachor.
  • The offensive line is the key question, especially with Troy Fautanu moving to left tackle and young linemen taking on larger roles.
  • The preview predicts a 7-10 finish.

Season Outlook:

Pittsburgh is feeling something unfamiliar: change. For a franchise that's had three head coaches since 1969, Mike Tomlin is gone after 19 consecutive non-losing seasons – replaced by Pittsburgh native Mike McCarthy. The former Packers and Cowboys coach reunites with Aaron Rodgers for what looks like the future Hall-of-Fame quarterback’s final season. Now it's on the players around him to get the Steelers back into January.

What's Changed:

McCarthy replaces Tomlin after a year away from the sidelines and likely is the reason why Rodgers is back at age 42. Pittsburgh was busy this offseason, signing cornerback Jamel Dean, signing running back Rico Dowdle, and trading for Michael Pittman Jr. to pair with D.K. Metcalf. The Steelers also addressed their offensive line needs with first-round pick Max Iheanachor.

Bigger Role & Sophomore Breakout:

There’s a good chance this will be a year we see a revival of Pat Freiermuth. With so much attention being paid to Metcalf and Pittman, plus the departure of Jonnu Smith, it opens up chances for the veteran tight end. Defensive lineman Derrick Harmon, a 2025 first-round pick, missed part of his rookie year with injury but when healthy proved to be pretty disruptive up front. There is major upside if he has a healthy season alongside T.J. Watt and Cam Heyward.

Key Question:

How will the offensive line fare? Troy Fautanu and Zach Frazier are promising with potential to reach an All-Pro level, but Fautanu moving from right to left tackle may have an effect. First-round pick Max Iheanachor and third-rounder Gennings Dunker could get more responsibilities as their rookie seasons develop. Collectively, giving Rodgers time to throw to D.K. Metcalf, Michael Pittman, and others is imperative. The run blocking must also improve. In 2025, the Steelers finished 26th in the NFL after averaging 103.3 yards on the ground.

Prediction:

Rodgers and McCarthy cannot summon up the magic from Green Bay. The Steelers stumble to 7-10. There are enough weapons on offense to make the aging quarterback’s final year relatively decent. But it’s clear that retirement is the best decision he can make at this point. The defense is where the holes will show up, and it'll be among the bottom 10 in points allowed per game.

X-Factor:

Pittsburgh’s defense should have an excellent pass rush with T.J. Watt. It’s the secondary that needs to come through. Jamel Dean and Joey Porter Jr. are coming off strong seasons. Will that continue? And is there another good year there from Jalen Ramsey? How well opposing teams pass against the Steelers will pretty much dictate how good this whole side of the ball fares.

Final Scorecard:

  • Offense: 7
  • Defense: 7
  • Coaching: 6
  • X-Factor Upside: 6
  • Schedule Strength: 6

Frequently asked questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers' outlook for the 2026 season?

Pittsburgh enters a major transition year with Mike McCarthy replacing Mike Tomlin and Aaron Rodgers returning for what is expected to be his final season.

Who is the Steelers' head coach in 2026?

Mike McCarthy replaces Mike Tomlin as Pittsburgh’s head coach.

What is the biggest question for the Steelers in 2026?

The offensive line, including Troy Fautanu’s move to left tackle and how quickly rookies Max Iheanachor and Gennings Dunker can handle larger roles.

Who is the Steelers' X-factor in 2026?

The secondary, with Jamel Dean, Joey Porter Jr. and Jalen Ramsey needing to hold up behind a strong pass rush led by T.J. Watt.

What record does this preview predict for the Steelers in 2026?

The preview predicts Pittsburgh will finish 7-10.