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NFL/2026/Team Previews

Is Tyler Shough the Real Deal or a Mirage?

The Saints are building their season around Tyler Shough, hoping that his strong finish to 2025 will carry over into 2026.

Headshot of Brian Wright.
Brian Wright
Saints quarterback Tyler Shough grimaces on the field in his white No. 6 uniform during a game.
It's Tyler Shough time in NOLA

At a glance

The New Orleans Saints enter 2026 with Tyler Shough established as their starting quarterback after a strong finish to his rookie season. Kellen Moore’s team is building around Shough while trying to turn late-2025 momentum into meaningful improvement.

Key takeaways

  • New Orleans won four of its final five games in 2025 after starting the season 2-10.
  • Tyler Shough is the undisputed starting quarterback after taking over for Spencer Rattler.
  • The Saints added Jordyn Tyson, Travis Etienne, David Edwards and Tyree Wilson during the offseason.
  • Age and health across the defense and receiving corps are major concerns entering 2026.
  • The preview predicts New Orleans will improve to 8-9 but miss the playoffs for a sixth straight year.

Season Outlook:

The Saints gained respectability once rookie Tyler Shough took over the starting quarterback job in November. Following a 2-10 start, New Orleans finished by winning four of its final five. That brings optimism for Kellen Moore’s team heading into year two as head coach. A playoff appearance for the first time in six seasons seems unlikely, but the returns so far show they can make noise in an NFC South that’s ordinary at best.

What's Changed:

Shough is the undisputed No. 1 QB after replacing Spencer Rattler mid-season. Around him, New Orleans used its first-round pick on wide receiver Jordyn Tyson and picked up former Jaguars running back Travis Etienne and ex-Bill lineman David Edwards in free agency. On defense, the Saints traded a fifth-round choice to the Raiders for edge rusher Tyree Wilson but will need to replace Demario Davis — who rejoined the Jets after eight seasons.

Bigger Role & Sophomore Breakout:

Two second-year players are primed for elevated status. Shough’s nine-start audition showed a strong arm and mobility. He completed 67.6 percent of his throws for 2,384 yards and 10 touchdowns with just six picks. It was so impressive that the Saints built around him in the offseason. Kelvin Banks, taken No. 9 overall in 2025, was arguably the biggest standout of all the first-year offensive tackles. A reinforced line could allow him to become a Pro Bowler.

Key Question:

Can certain positions survive age and health? Brandon Staley turned this defense into one of the league's best against the run, and Christen Miller should keep it that way. Cam Jordan and Chase Young are aging, Davis is now in New York, and Bryan Bresee is out for the year with an ACL tear. The receivers have talent, but Olave's concussion history and Tyson's hamstring injury are real risks.

Prediction:

The arrow is pointing up. New Orleans improves to 8-9. Although the Saints miss the playoffs for the sixth straight year, that will be evidence the drought ends soon. Shough is on pace for more than 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns, although there are concerns if he can stay healthy for a full year. The defense struggles overall but the secondary becomes a strength of this unit.

X-Factor:

Travis Etienne comes in on a four-year, $52 million deal having accumulated more than 1,000 touches in four years in Jacksonville. His performance in 2025 no doubt raised his value to the point of a contract that may be a bit much to hand over to a 27-year-old running back. If he maintains the kind of production he showed with the Jags last season, it could prove to be a worthwhile investment.

Final Scorecard:

  • Offense: 6
  • Defense: 5
  • Coaching: 6
  • X-Factor Upside: 7
  • Schedule Strength: 5

Frequently asked questions

What is the New Orleans Saints' outlook for the 2026 season?

The Saints enter 2026 with optimism after winning four of their final five games in 2025, though the preview still considers a playoff appearance unlikely.

Who is the Saints' starting quarterback in 2026?

Tyler Shough is the undisputed No. 1 quarterback after replacing Spencer Rattler during the 2025 season.

What is the biggest question for the Saints in 2026?

The biggest concern is whether key positions can withstand age and health issues, particularly across the defensive front and receiving corps.

Who is the Saints' X-factor in 2026?

Travis Etienne is the X-factor after signing a four-year, $52 million deal following a productive 2025 season in Jacksonville.

What record does this preview predict for the Saints in 2026?

The preview predicts New Orleans will finish 8-9 and miss the playoffs for a sixth consecutive season.