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NFL/2026/Team Previews

Can Caleb Williams Lead the Bears on a Super Bowl Run?

Following a breakthrough first season under Ben Johnson and a rejuvenated Caleb Williams, the Chicago Bears are aiming for more than a division title in 2026.

Headshot of Brian Wright.
Brian Wright
Bears quarterback Caleb Williams holds a football while warming up in his navy No. 18 uniform.
Caleb Williams enters 2026 looking to take another leap

At a glance

The Chicago Bears enter 2026 after an 11-6 NFC North championship season in Ben Johnson’s first year, with Caleb Williams continuing to develop into the franchise centerpiece. The preview projects a 10-7 finish but sees defensive turnover and a difficult schedule keeping Chicago out of the playoffs.

Key takeaways

  • Chicago went 11-6 and won its first NFC North title since 2018.
  • Caleb Williams set a franchise record for passing yards and threw 27 touchdowns against seven interceptions.
  • Rome Odunze becomes the No. 1 receiving option after DJ Moore was traded to Buffalo.
  • Defensive turnover, including the losses of Kevin Byard, Jaquan Brisker and Tremaine Edmunds, is a major concern.
  • The preview predicts a 10-7 record but has Chicago missing the playoffs.

Season Outlook:

It’s hard to think of a team that offered more excitement last year. The Bears went 11-6 and won their first division title since 2018. Caleb Williams blossomed behind his magical playmaking, while Ben Johnson proved himself a very worthy leadership choice by the organization in his first year. The QB and coach have laid a foundation that has Bears fans dreaming of something more than just repeating as NFC North champs.

What's Changed:

Chicago sent wideout DJ Moore to Buffalo in exchange for a second-round draft pick. The defense lost both starting safeties, Kevin Byard and Jaquan Brisker, in free agency, as well as linebacker Tremaine Edmunds to the New York Giants. Center Drew Dalman surprisingly retired at age 27. The Bears did replenish their secondary with first-round pick Dillon Thieneman.

Bigger Role & Sophomore Breakout:

Rome Odunze will take Moore’s place as the No. 1 passing option. A first-round pick in 2024, Odunze made 44 catches in his 12 games – averaging 15 yards per reception and scoring six TDs. Those numbers should go up. While Odunze will be counted on to make the shorter catches, Luther Burden III has game-breaking potential on the deep ball. A recent groin injury is slightly concerning, but otherwise he’s rightfully gaining plenty of hype as a player who could emerge in his second season.

Key Question:

Can Caleb Williams become elite? He set the franchise record for passing yards and threw 27 touchdowns to seven interceptions. But in order to get to the “next level,” he’ll need to improve his accuracy well beyond a 58.1 percent completion rate. Protecting him may not be as easy. Summer turnover and injury along the offensive line leaves the continuity of that positional area in doubt.

Prediction:

The difficulty of their schedule and the NFC North itself will make it hard to duplicate last season. Chicago goes 10-7 and misses out on the playoffs. The reason won’t be the offense. Caleb Williams continues to thrive – throwing for 30 touchdowns and nearly 4,000 yards – while Kyle Monangai and D’Andre Swift are one of the best 1-2 running back combos. The defense is what’s going to let them down. Losing both starting safeties and Edmunds will be difficult to replace. It stands to reason that the turnover differential will regress.

X-Factor:

Third-year defensive end Austin Booker recorded a career-high 4.5 sacks, 35 total pressures, and 658 snaps despite a knee injury that cost him the first seven games in 2025. The Bears not addressing their pass rush this offseason clearly shows that the organization is looking for Booker (alongside Montez Sweat) to be healthy and effective again.

Final Scorecard:

  • Offense: 8
  • Defense: 6
  • Coaching: 8
  • X-Factor Upside: 7
  • Schedule Strength: 4

Frequently asked questions

What is the Chicago Bears' outlook for the 2026 season?

Chicago enters 2026 trying to build on an 11-6 NFC North title season under Ben Johnson, with expectations centered on Caleb Williams taking another step forward.

What changed for the Bears entering 2026?

Chicago traded DJ Moore to Buffalo and lost Kevin Byard, Jaquan Brisker, Tremaine Edmunds and Drew Dalman, while adding first-round safety Dillon Thieneman.

What is the biggest question for the Bears in 2026?

Whether Caleb Williams can become an elite quarterback by improving his accuracy while navigating turnover and injuries along the offensive line.

Who is the Bears' X-factor in 2026?

Austin Booker is the X-factor after recording a career-high 4.5 sacks and 35 pressures despite missing the first seven games of 2025 with a knee injury.

What record does this preview predict for the Bears in 2026?

The preview predicts Chicago will finish 10-7 but miss the playoffs.